Pretty damn small IMO Min. The standard timelines simply don't hold up.
I've been saving this.....
http://www.handprint.com/LS/ANC/evol.html
it shows no connection between HE and HSS. Therefore the official line must run thus...
HE leaves Africa 1.8MY? ago and colonises the planet.
700KY ago HSS leaves Africa and colonises the planet completely, eliminating all genetic traces of HE in doing so.
The problems I have with that are this.
Firstly why leave Africa? It was never over crowded and leaving meant a water crossing. The full extent of HE's efforts are unknown to us due to geological, sea level and ice cap changes, but he had a lot more time than HSS has had.
Aboriginies are either HE or HSS, if HSS they moved damned quick, which suggests by water. So if HSS left by water then the coastal route via India etc is the logical one.
According to genetic tracers that is indeed the route taken, apparently at the time the Arabian peninsular was well watered near the coast, that being so we need to look for yet another migration, across the northern Nile, cos from the coastal route deep into Asia requires yet another gallop.
The 70K time line clashes with Toba, but it's worth remembering that the north-east and the east were not affected by the fall out, so Asiatic HEs would not have been affected.
Further there is now evidence that man survived the fall out in India, which has to mean he was there before Toba, which I believe is now dated 74KYs ago.
I get more confused.
Roy.
First people deny a thing, then they belittle it, then they say it was known all along! Von Humboldt