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Humans nearly wiped out 70,000 years ago
Posted: Fri Apr 25, 2008 4:30 am
by Rokcet Scientist
CNN has a story discussing evidence found by researchers which indicates that humans came close to extinction roughly 70,000 years ago. A similar study by Stanford scientists suggests that droughts reduced the population to as few as 2,000 humans, who were scattered in small, isolated groups.
Quoting:
"'This study illustrates the extraordinary power of genetics to reveal insights into some of the key events in our species' history,' said Spencer Wells, National Geographic Society explorer in residence. 'Tiny bands of early humans, forced apart by harsh environmental conditions, coming back from the brink to reunite and populate the world. Truly an epic drama, written in our DNA.'"
http://edition.cnn.com/2008/TECH/04/24/ ... index.html
Phew!
We nearly bought it there!
Posted: Fri Apr 25, 2008 8:15 am
by CShark
Sounds like something I read in Genesis...
Posted: Fri Apr 25, 2008 8:37 am
by Beagle
We were yacking about a report on this yesterday RS. This one is better reported, as it says humans were in small isolated groups during this time. An earlier report said that two separate species of man were in Africa.
Glad you found this one.

Posted: Fri Apr 25, 2008 9:27 am
by Minimalist
Still faces the problem of why there is not a similar "bottleneck" among other species which need food and water to survive.
Posted: Fri Apr 25, 2008 11:43 am
by Beagle
And that's the kicker. They seem very certain that a "bottleneck" occurred. So we may get a number of theories. But the other animals are exposed to the same conditions, and no bottleneck exists with them. They will have to come up with a theory that takes that into account.

Posted: Fri Apr 25, 2008 12:13 pm
by Minimalist
Yes...or, as Clubs do most often, simply say "that's not our field" and punt.
Posted: Sat Apr 26, 2008 4:18 am
by Rokcet Scientist
Beagle wrote:And that's the kicker. They seem very certain that a "bottleneck" occurred. So we may get a number of theories. But the other animals are exposed to the same conditions, and no bottleneck exists with them. They will have to come up with a theory that takes that into account.

Maybe an extra complicating factor, like a contagious disease (malaria, TB, HIV/AIDS, etc. etc.) whittled down their numbers and the drought nearly finished them off?
Posted: Sat Apr 26, 2008 5:12 am
by Beagle
Rokcet Scientist wrote:Beagle wrote:And that's the kicker. They seem very certain that a "bottleneck" occurred. So we may get a number of theories. But the other animals are exposed to the same conditions, and no bottleneck exists with them. They will have to come up with a theory that takes that into account.

Maybe an extra complicating factor, like a contagious disease (malaria, TB, HIV/AIDS, etc. etc.) whittled down their numbers and the drought nearly finished them off?
Right now RS, you're guess is as good as any scientist out there. I don't know. Geneticists say a bottleneck happened about 70,000 ya. There is no reason not to believe them but their has been no good explanation. Toba has been thrown out. This theory has the same problems. Who knows?
Posted: Sat Apr 26, 2008 8:51 am
by Minimalist
Maybe the geneticists are simply trying to make their particular science do too much?
Posted: Sat Apr 26, 2008 9:20 am
by Beagle
Minimalist wrote:Maybe the geneticists are simply trying to make their particular science do too much?
Genetics is a young science, and I think they started off with all the answers, but now they're realizing that there is a lot more to the science.
The entire Neanderthal debacle has been based on mDNA, which now has little value alongside nuclear DNA findings.
Posted: Sat Apr 26, 2008 11:38 am
by Minimalist
They wouldn't be the first group to aim too high.
Posted: Sun Apr 27, 2008 10:43 am
by Rokcet Scientist
As long as that supposed 70,000 years BP bottleneck is not corroborated by independent evidence – which would be the scientific approach, it is of course just a theory.
Posted: Tue May 06, 2008 11:51 am
by Beagle
http://johnhawks.net/weblog/reviews/gen ... -2008.html
As you can see, these data allow a direct test of the hypothesis of a 70,000-year-old bottleneck in Africa, and they refute the hypothesis. The new data allow a powerful model of ancient African population size to be built, one that comes together with archaeological data to give us a really interesting picture of the early evolution of "modern" humans. The model can be tested with new, massive sets of information from single nucleotide polymorphisms, as well as a more detailed chronology of late MSA sites.
John Hawks blogs on this "bottleneck" hypothesis. He obviously disagrees with it. This is a long and maybe arduous blog, and I have quoted his conclusion.
Posted: Tue May 06, 2008 12:29 pm
by Digit
That guy's getting to be a real pain in the neck for the club isn't he?
Posted: Tue May 06, 2008 12:47 pm
by Beagle
Hi Dig. Hawks is actually kinda in the Club, but he was brought up as a grad student by Wolpoff. In his heart he is a multi-regionalists, but feels that there is definate African introgression of some genes.
I like him because he blogs on most of these papers that have a new hypothesis. He's pretty tough on them.
