We already have some:Minimalist wrote: Next step in any hypothesis (which does not involve religion, that is) is to seek evidence to support it.
– HE was a beach comber. Evidenced by large amounts of empty (clam-type) shells associated with them in the seaside caves they sheltered in; so we may assume they were in the area, and perhaps already for hundreds of thousands of years, because there was (and is) a coastline there
– HE did get across, according to that DNA analysis
– some of those volcanoes blew/blow 'frequently' (say once every 1,000 years, average). They always have.
So it was a coincidence waiting to happen for a very long time.
It probably even happened a number of times, only HE didn't know how to get across the water, so he perished. New bands subsequently came in, and combed the beaches for a thousand years, oblivious of the volcanoes. And then one blew again! And HE had another 'opportunity' to ponder how to get across the water. Etc. etc. And one day one band of HE finally licked it. And did get across.
There's your 200 individuals.